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Eltham Redbacks FC vs Manningham United Blues Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Matchday 24 ·Friday, August 14, 2026, 10:30

Eltham Redbacks FC

PPG 1.73 · HOME

UPCOMING

Manningham United Blues

PPG 1.09 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.66 for Home, form 1.73 vs 1.09 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-11.3%0-21.0%0-30.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-02.8%1-14.3%1-23.3%1-31.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-04.4%2-16.8%2-25.3%2-32.7%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.7%3-17.3%3-25.7%3-32.9%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-08.5%4+-113.1%4+-210.2%4+-35.3%4+-4+2.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.3% — — —

Draw 16.5% — — —

Away win 23.1% — — —

Over 2.5 75.5% — — —

Over 3.5 54.6% — — —

BTTS 69.4% — — —

Home O1.5 80.3% — — —

Away O1.5 47.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -35.9%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 72%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob69.4%

H 60% / xG 3.2-1.5 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.3%

#2 2–1 6.8%

#3 4–1 5.9%

#4 3–2 5.7%

#5 2–2 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eltham Redbacks FC3.2

Manningham United Blues1.5

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.5% · O3.5 PROB 54.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ELTHAM REDBACKS FC · PPG 1.73

MANNINGHAM UNITED BLUES · PPG 1.09

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.66 for Home, form 1.73 vs 1.09 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Eltham Redbacks FC (H) 60.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Manningham United Blues (A) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eltham Redbacks FC face Manningham United Blues in Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eltham Redbacks FC a 60% chance, the draw 17% and Manningham United Blues 23%, so Eltham Redbacks FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Eltham Redbacks FC and 1.5 for Manningham United Blues (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eltham Redbacks FC are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.09 for Manningham United Blues.

Eltham Redbacks FC vs Manningham United Blues Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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