Jeonbuk PPG 2.00
Incheon Utd PPG 1.25Jeonbuk face Incheon Utd in South-Korea - K League 1 on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jeonbuk a 70% chance, the draw 18% and Incheon Utd 12%, so Jeonbuk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Jeonbuk and 0.9 for Incheon Utd (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jeonbuk are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.25 for Incheon Utd. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +45.5%. This match finished 1-2.
Based on 48 resolved predictions
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.25)