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Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura logo Uruguay flag Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Apertura - 12 Estadio Campeón del Siglo· Montevideo Monday, April 20, 2026 23:30
Penarol logo Penarol PPG 1.67
2-2 MISS
Juventud logo Juventud PPG 0.20
Over3.5· +35.7% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 80.8%
Odds: 1.34 EV: +8.3%
Draw 13.1%
Odds: 4.20 EV: -45.0%
Away 6.1%
Odds: 9.50 EV: -42.0%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 62.7% Odds: 1.93 +21.0%
Over 3.5 40.5% Odds: 3.35 +35.7%
BTTS 41.7% Odds: 2.20 -8.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 3-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 4-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Penarol
2.63
Juventud
0.60

Model Suggestion

Home +8.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+35.7%)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.67), Away POOR (0.20) - Strong consensus

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