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Argentina - Primera Nacional logo Argentina flag Argentina - Primera Nacional Regular Season - 10 Estadio Nuevo Monumental· Rafaela Monday, April 20, 2026 23:00
A. Rafaela logo A. Rafaela PPG 1.75
4-1 MISS
Agropecuario logo Agropecuario PPG 0.67
Home· +40.6% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 65.4%
Odds: 2.15 EV: +40.6%
Draw 27.8%
Odds: 2.85 EV: -20.8%
Away 6.9%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -75.2%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 21.6% Odds: 2.95 -36.3%
Over 3.5 7.9% Odds: —
BTTS 16.6% Odds: 2.30 -61.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-0
4th 3-0
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

A. Rafaela
1.34
Agropecuario
0.26

Model Suggestion

Home +40.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.75), Away POOR (0.67) - Strong consensus

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