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Sporting Cristal vs Sport Huancayo Prediction— Peru - Primera División

Clausura · Matchday 5 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 16:00

Sporting Cristal

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sport Huancayo

PPG 0.45 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-12.7%0-21.4%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.0%1-17.0%1-23.5%1-31.2%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.2%2-19.2%2-24.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-08.0%3-18.0%3-24.0%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-09.8%4+-19.8%4+-24.9%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.7% — — —

Draw 19.5% — — —

Away win 16.9% — — —

Over 2.5 63.8% — — —

Over 3.5 42.6% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 63.4% — — —

Away O1.5 29.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 85 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -4.6%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.5%

H 64% / xG 2.6-1.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.2%

#2 2–0 9.2%

#3 1–1 7.0%

#4 3–1 8.0%

#5 3–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sporting Cristal2.6

Sport Huancayo1.0

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.8% · O3.5 PROB 42.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORTING CRISTAL · PPG 2.00

SPORT HUANCAYO · PPG 0.45

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.61 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.45 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Sporting Cristal (H) 63.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sport Huancayo (A) 16.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sporting Cristal face Sport Huancayo in Peru - Primera División on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sporting Cristal a 64% chance, the draw 20% and Sport Huancayo 17%, so Sporting Cristal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Sporting Cristal and 1.0 for Sport Huancayo (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sporting Cristal are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.45 for Sport Huancayo.

Sporting Cristal vs Sport Huancayo Prediction— Peru - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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