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Silkeborg vs FC Copenhagen Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Regular Season - 2 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 16:00

Silkeborg

PPG 1.30 · HOME

UPCOMING

FC Copenhagen

PPG 1.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.0% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6% — a clear edge.

+10.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-15.3%0-25.6%0-33.9%0-4+3.4%1 1-04.0%1-18.4%1-28.8%1-36.2%1-4+5.3%2 2-03.1%2-16.6%2-26.9%2-34.9%2-4+4.2%3 3-01.6%3-13.5%3-23.6%3-32.5%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.9%4+-22.0%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.2% 22.7% 4.40 +41.7%

Draw 22.7% 25.0% 4.00 -5.5%

Away win 45.0% 59.5% 1.68 -24.4%

Over 2.5 67.0% 60.6% 1.65 +10.5%

Over 3.5 44.8% 37.0% 2.70 +21.0%

BTTS 63.5% 61.7% 1.62 +2.9%

Home O1.5 47.9% 33.3% 3.00 +43.7%

Away O1.5 54.5% 60.6% 1.65 -10.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -0.8%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob63.5%

A 45% / xG 1.6-2.1 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.4%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 2–1 6.6%

#5 1–3 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Silkeborg1.6

FC Copenhagen2.1

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SILKEBORG · PPG 1.30

FC COPENHAGEN · PPG 1.64

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.53 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Silkeborg (H) 32.2%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +41.7%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -5.5%

FC Copenhagen (A) 45.0%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV -24.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Silkeborg face FC Copenhagen in Denmark - Superliga on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Silkeborg a 32% chance, the draw 23% and FC Copenhagen 45%, so FC Copenhagen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Silkeborg and 2.1 for FC Copenhagen (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Silkeborg are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.64 for FC Copenhagen. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +43.7%.

Silkeborg vs FC Copenhagen Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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