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Brondby vs Viborg Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Regular Season - 2 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 14:00

Brondby

PPG 1.36 · HOME

UPCOMING

Viborg

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-19.1%0-25.2%0-32.0%0-4+0.8%1 1-010.9%1-112.6%1-27.3%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.6%2-18.8%2-25.1%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.5%3-14.1%3-22.4%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.9%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.6% 52.6% 1.90 -13.4%

Draw 26.4% 26.7% 3.75 -0.6%

Away win 28.0% 27.8% 3.60 +0.5%

Over 2.5 51.7% 59.9% 1.67 -13.7%

Over 3.5 29.3% 37.0% 2.70 -12.5%

BTTS 55.4% 63.7% 1.57 -13.0%

Home O1.5 41.8% 56.5% 1.77 -26.0%

Away O1.5 36.5% 37.7% 2.65 -3.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -0.8%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.4%

H 46% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 7.8%

#3 1–0 10.9%

#4 2–1 8.8%

#5 2–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brondby1.4

Viborg1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.7% · O3.5 PROB 29.3%

Form & verdict PPG

BRONDBY · PPG 1.36

VIBORG · PPG 1.38

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.23 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Brondby (H) 45.6%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -13.4%

Draw 26.4%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -0.6%

Viborg (A) 28.0%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +0.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brondby face Viborg in Denmark - Superliga on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brondby a 46% chance, the draw 26% and Viborg 28%, so Brondby are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Brondby and 1.2 for Viborg (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brondby are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.38 for Viborg. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +4.0%.

Brondby vs Viborg Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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