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FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Regular Season - 2 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 12:00

FC Nordsjaelland

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Randers FC

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.4% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-17.6%0-23.9%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-011.7%1-112.0%1-26.1%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.3%2-19.5%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.9%3-15.0%3-22.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-12.8%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.6% 59.9% 1.67 -15.5%

Draw 25.1% 25.6% 3.90 -1.3%

Away win 24.3% 21.1% 4.75 +9.3%

Over 2.5 53.4% 61.7% 1.62 -13.5%

Over 3.5 31.1% 39.2% 2.55 -20.7%

BTTS 54.4% 62.5% 1.60 -13.0%

Home O1.5 49.0% 61.7% 1.62 -20.6%

Away O1.5 32.0% 33.3% 3.00 -4.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -0.8%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.4%

H 51% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–0 11.7%

#3 2–1 9.5%

#4 2–0 9.3%

#5 0–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Nordsjaelland1.6

Randers FC1.0

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 31.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FC NORDSJAELLAND · PPG 1.75

RANDERS FC · PPG 1.17

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.56 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

FC Nordsjaelland (H) 50.6%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -15.5%

Draw 25.1%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -1.3%

Randers FC (A) 24.3%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +9.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Nordsjaelland face Randers FC in Denmark - Superliga on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Nordsjaelland a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Randers FC 24%, so FC Nordsjaelland are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.0 for Randers FC (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Nordsjaelland are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.17 for Randers FC. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +18.8%.

FC Nordsjaelland vs Randers FC Prediction— Denmark - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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