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Venezuela - Primera División
Apertura - 12
Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado· Valencia
Monday, April 20, 2026
22:00
Carabobo
PPG 2.00
6-3
MISS
A. Anzoategui
PPG 1.17
Home· +12.1%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
77.3%
Odds: 1.45
EV: +12.1%
Draw
15.7%
Odds: 3.90
EV: -38.8%
Away
7.1%
Odds: 6.50
EV: -53.8%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
54.1%
Odds: 1.90
+2.8%
Over 3.5
31.8%
Odds: 3.25
+3.4%
BTTS
37.6%
Odds: 2.00
-24.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
3-0
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
1-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Carabobo
2.30
A. Anzoategui
0.54
Model Suggestion
Home
+12.1%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68%
STRONG_HOME
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away AVERAGE (1.17) - Strong consensus