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Rubio Nu vs Libertad Prediction— Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura

Monday, April 20, 2026, 21:15

Rubio Nu

PPG 0.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Libertad

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.0%0-117.7%0-210.5%0-34.1%0-4+1.6%1 1-010.7%1-112.7%1-27.5%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-03.8%2-14.5%2-22.7%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-00.9%3-11.1%3-20.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.4% 22.5% 4.45 -0.3%

Draw 30.6% 30.8% 3.25 -0.5%

Away win 47.0% 55.9% 1.79 -15.9%

Over 2.5 29.5% 45.5% 2.20 -35.1%

Over 3.5 12.5% 25.0% 4.00 -50.0%

BTTS 35.4% 51.3% 1.95 -31.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 9.0%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob35.4%

A 47% / xG 0.7-1.2 / U2.5 30% / NoBTTS 35%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 17.7%

#2 0–0 15.0%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 1–0 10.7%

#5 0–2 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rubio Nu0.7

Libertad1.2

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 29.5% · O3.5 PROB 12.5%

Form & verdict PPG

RUBIO NU · PPG 0.88

LIBERTAD · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.88), Away POOR (0.88)

Win probability 1X2

Rubio Nu (H) 22.4%

ODDS 4.45 · IMPLIED 22.5% EV -0.3%

Draw 30.6%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -0.5%

Libertad (A) 47.0%

ODDS 1.79 · IMPLIED 55.9% EV -15.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rubio Nu face Libertad in Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rubio Nu a 22% chance, the draw 31% and Libertad 47%, so Libertad are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Rubio Nu and 1.2 for Libertad (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rubio Nu are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 0.88 for Libertad.

Rubio Nu vs Libertad Prediction— Paraguay - Division Profesional - Apertura

Match Preview & Prediction

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