Today / Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 / Samtredia vs Gori

Samtredia vs Gori Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 15:00

Samtredia

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gori

PPG 0.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.79 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-16.2%0-23.1%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.0%1-111.0%1-25.5%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.8%2-19.8%2-24.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.9%3-15.9%3-22.9%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-13.9%4+-22.0%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.4% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 26.3% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 29.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI 73.3%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.5%

H 49% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.8%

#4 1–0 11.0%

#5 0–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Samtredia1.8

Gori1.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SAMTREDIA · PPG 1.33

GORI · PPG 0.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.79 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Samtredia (H) 49.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gori (A) 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Samtredia face Gori in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Samtredia a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Gori 26%, so Samtredia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Samtredia and 1.0 for Gori (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Samtredia are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.70 for Gori.

Samtredia vs Gori Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 Predictions