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Sioni vs Shturmi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 15:00

Sioni

PPG 1.90 · HOME

UPCOMING

Shturmi

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.0%0-111.0%0-23.8%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.3%1-112.6%1-24.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.5%2-17.2%2-22.5%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.0%3-12.8%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.0%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.8% — — —

Draw 30.5% — — —

Away win 22.6% — — —

Over 2.5 37.0% — — —

Over 3.5 18.1% — — —

BTTS 44.9% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI 73.3%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob44.9%

H 47% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.0%

#2 1–0 18.3%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 2–0 10.5%

#5 0–1 11.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sioni1.1

Shturmi0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.0% · O3.5 PROB 18.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SIONI · PPG 1.90

SHTURMI · PPG 1.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.46, combined xG 1.83 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sioni (H) 46.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shturmi (A) 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sioni face Shturmi in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sioni a 47% chance, the draw 31% and Shturmi 23%, so Sioni are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Sioni and 0.7 for Shturmi (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sioni are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 1.10 for Shturmi.

Sioni vs Shturmi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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