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Raufoss vs Asane Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Matchday 18 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 15:00

Raufoss

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Asane

PPG 0.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.1% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-14.7%0-23.0%0-31.3%0-4+0.6%1 1-07.4%1-19.6%1-26.1%1-32.6%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.5%2-19.6%2-26.2%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.0%3-16.5%3-24.1%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-15.2%4+-23.3%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.4% 54.1% 1.85 -1.2%

Draw 22.6% 26.7% 3.75 -9.2%

Away win 23.9% 29.4% 3.40 -11.2%

Over 2.5 63.1% 69.0% 1.45 -8.5%

Over 3.5 40.1% 46.5% 2.15 -13.8%

BTTS 61.6% 70.4% 1.42 -12.5%

Home O1.5 54.6% 62.5% 1.60 -12.6%

Away O1.5 36.6% 45.5% 2.20 -19.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 73 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 23%

ROI 23.4%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob61.6%

H 53% / xG 2.0-1.3 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 7.5%

#4 3–1 6.5%

#5 2–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Raufoss2.0

Asane1.3

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.1%

Form & verdict PPG

RAUFOSS · PPG 1.25

ASANE · PPG 0.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.73 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Raufoss (H) 53.4%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -1.2%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -9.2%

Asane (A) 23.9%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -11.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Raufoss face Asane in Norway - 1st Division on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Raufoss a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Asane 24%, so Raufoss are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Raufoss and 1.3 for Asane (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Raufoss are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.12 for Asane.

Raufoss vs Asane Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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