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Lyn vs ODD Ballklubb Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:00

Lyn

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

ODD Ballklubb

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 72.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-17.4%0-26.9%0-34.3%0-4+3.1%1 1-05.4%1-110.0%1-29.4%1-35.9%1-4+4.2%2 2-03.6%2-16.8%2-26.4%2-34.0%2-4+2.9%3 3-01.7%3-13.1%3-22.9%3-31.8%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.4%4+-21.3%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.8% 35.7% 2.80 -8.2%

Draw 22.6% 27.0% 3.70 -9.8%

Away win 44.6% 47.6% 2.10 -6.3%

Over 2.5 64.1% 72.5% 1.38 -11.5%

Over 3.5 42.6% 51.3% 1.95 -16.9%

BTTS 63.3% 75.2% 1.33 -15.8%

Home O1.5 37.9% 54.1% 1.85 -29.9%

Away O1.5 53.8% 61.7% 1.62 -12.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 73 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 23%

ROI 23.4%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.3%

A 45% / xG 1.4-1.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 0–2 6.9%

#4 2–1 6.8%

#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lyn1.4

ODD Ballklubb1.9

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LYN · PPG 1.00

ODD BALLKLUBB · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.51 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Lyn (H) 32.8%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -8.2%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -9.8%

ODD Ballklubb (A) 44.6%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -6.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lyn face ODD Ballklubb in Norway - 1st Division on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lyn a 33% chance, the draw 23% and ODD Ballklubb 45%, so ODD Ballklubb are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Lyn and 1.9 for ODD Ballklubb (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lyn are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.50 for ODD Ballklubb.

Lyn vs ODD Ballklubb Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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