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Bryne vs Moss Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:00

Bryne

PPG 1.38 · HOME

UPCOMING

Moss

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 62.7% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-14.8%0-22.9%0-31.2%0-4+0.5%1 1-07.9%1-19.6%1-25.9%1-32.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.0%2-19.8%2-25.9%2-32.4%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.4%3-16.6%3-24.0%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-15.3%4+-23.2%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.4% 63.7% 1.57 -16.2%

Draw 22.6% 25.0% 4.00 -5.8%

Away win 23.9% 21.1% 4.75 +8.1%

Over 2.5 62.7% 70.4% 1.42 -11.0%

Over 3.5 38.7% 48.8% 2.05 -20.7%

BTTS 61.6% 69.4% 1.44 -11.3%

Home O1.5 54.8% 70.4% 1.42 -22.2%

Away O1.5 36.6% 39.2% 2.55 -6.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 73 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 23%

ROI 23.4%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.6%

H 53% / xG 2.0-1.2 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.0%

#4 3–1 6.6%

#5 1–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bryne2.0

Moss1.2

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.7% · O3.5 PROB 38.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BRYNE · PPG 1.38

MOSS · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.81 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Bryne (H) 53.4%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -16.2%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -5.8%

Moss (A) 23.9%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +8.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bryne face Moss in Norway - 1st Division on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bryne a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Moss 24%, so Bryne are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Bryne and 1.2 for Moss (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bryne are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.00 for Moss. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +12.2%.

Bryne vs Moss Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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