Zamora vs Caracas Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Venezuela - Primera División Apertura - 12 Monday, April 20, 2026 21:00

Zamora PPG 1.60

1-1 HIT CS2

Caracas PPG 0.80

Home· +12.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Zamora face Caracas in Venezuela - Primera División on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zamora a 52% chance, the draw 27% and Caracas 21%, so Zamora are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Zamora and 0.8 for Caracas (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zamora are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 0.80 for Caracas. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +12.2%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.2%

Odds: 2.15 EV: +12.2%

Draw 27.3%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -18.1%

Away 20.5%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -32.4%

Model lean: Home

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 37.5% Odds: 2.30 -13.8%

Over 3.5 17.9% Odds: 4.33 -22.5%

BTTS 40.8% Odds: 1.93 -21.3%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✔

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Zamora

1.42

Caracas

0.78

Model SuggestionHome +12.2% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.60) > Away POOR (0.80)