Today / Jamaica - Premier League / Cavalier vs Spanish Town P.

Cavalier vs Spanish Town P. Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Regular Season - 35 ·Monday, April 20, 2026, 21:00

Cavalier

PPG 1.38 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Spanish Town P.

PPG 0.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.38), Away POOR (0.47) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-10.7%0-20.2%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-04.8%1-12.5%1-20.7%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-09.3%2-14.9%2-21.3%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-012.0%3-16.2%3-21.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-032.0%4+-116.6%4+-24.3%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 92.7% — — —

Draw 5.3% — — —

Away win 1.9% — — —

Over 2.5 81.2% — — —

Over 3.5 63.7% — — —

BTTS 39.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -3.3%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 77%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)3.9 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob39.6%

H 93% / xG 3.9-0.5 / O2.5 81% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0✓ 12.0%

#2 4–0 11.6%

#3 2–0 9.3%

#4 5–0 9.0%

#5 3–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cavalier3.9

Spanish Town P.0.5

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 81.2% · O3.5 PROB 63.7%

Form & verdict PPG

CAVALIER · PPG 1.38

SPANISH TOWN P. · PPG 0.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.38), Away POOR (0.47) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Cavalier (H) 92.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 5.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Spanish Town P. (A) 1.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cavalier face Spanish Town P. in Jamaica - Premier League on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cavalier a 93% chance, the draw 5% and Spanish Town P. 2%, so Cavalier are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.9 for Cavalier and 0.5 for Spanish Town P. (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cavalier are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 0.47 for Spanish Town P.. This match finished 3-0.

Cavalier vs Spanish Town P. Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Jamaica - Premier League Predictions