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AC Oulu vs Inter Turku Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Matchday 20 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 14:00

AC Oulu

PPG 2.11 · HOME

UPCOMING

Inter Turku

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.8%0-114.0%0-26.6%0-32.1%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.3%1-113.5%1-26.4%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-06.9%2-16.5%2-23.1%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.2%3-12.1%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.5% 32.3% 3.10 +0.8%

Draw 32.9% 31.3% 3.20 +5.3%

Away win 34.6% 45.5% 2.20 -23.9%

Over 2.5 36.8% 50.0% 2.00 -26.4%

Over 3.5 17.9% 28.2% 3.55 -21.9%

BTTS 47.0% 57.8% 1.73 -18.7%

Home O1.5 30.2% 34.7% 2.88 -13.0%

Away O1.5 26.2% 44.4% 2.25 -24.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 45%

ROI 21.0%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.0%

D 33% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.8%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 1–0 14.3%

#4 0–1 14.0%

#5 2–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

AC Oulu1.0

Inter Turku0.9

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.8% · O3.5 PROB 17.9%

Form & verdict PPG

AC OULU · PPG 2.11

INTER TURKU · PPG 2.00

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

80%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.02, combined xG 1.91 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

AC Oulu (H) 32.5%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +0.8%

Draw 32.9%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +5.3%

Inter Turku (A) 34.6%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -23.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

AC Oulu face Inter Turku in Finland - Veikkausliiga on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AC Oulu a 33% chance, the draw 33% and Inter Turku 35%, so Inter Turku are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for AC Oulu and 0.9 for Inter Turku (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AC Oulu are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 2.00 for Inter Turku.

AC Oulu vs Inter Turku Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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