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Inter Turku vs Lahti Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Matchday 19 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 14:00

Inter Turku

PPG 1.78 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Lahti

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.2%0-19.9%0-23.0%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.7%1-111.9%1-23.6%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.9%2-17.2%2-22.2%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.8%3-12.9%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.1%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.4% 54.1% 1.85 -12.3%

Draw 30.0% 29.0% 3.45 +3.5%

Away win 22.6% 26.0% 3.85 -7.8%

Over 2.5 36.3% 51.8% 1.93 -29.9%

Over 3.5 18.1% 29.9% 3.35 -23.6%

BTTS 45.5% 57.1% 1.75 -20.4%

Home O1.5 34.0% 51.3% 1.95 -33.7%

Away O1.5 17.4% 30.8% 3.25 -26.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 66 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 41%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 21.0%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.5%

H 47% / xG 1.2-0.6 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 16.2%

#2 1–0 19.7%

#3 1–1 11.9%

#4 2–0 11.9%

#5 0–1 9.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Turku1.2

Lahti0.6

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 36.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.1%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER TURKU · PPG 1.78

LAHTI · PPG 0.88

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.60 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Inter Turku (H) 47.4%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -12.3%

Draw 30.0%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV +3.5%

Lahti (A) 22.6%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -7.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Turku face Lahti in Finland - Veikkausliiga on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Turku a 47% chance, the draw 30% and Lahti 23%, so Inter Turku are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Inter Turku and 0.6 for Lahti (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Turku are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 0.88 for Lahti. This match finished 0-0.

Inter Turku vs Lahti Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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