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Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura logo Uruguay flag Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Apertura - 12 Parque Artigas· Las Piedras Monday, April 20, 2026 20:00
Boston River logo Boston River PPG 0.67
1-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Cerro Largo logo Cerro Largo PPG 1.17
Away· -6.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.9%
Odds: 2.36 EV: -10.6%
Draw 31.0%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -7.0%
Away 31.2%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -6.4%
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 31.7% Odds: 2.45 -22.3%
Over 3.5 13.9% Odds: 4.75 -34.0%
BTTS 39.2% Odds: 2.00 -21.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 0-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Boston River
1.05
Cerro Largo
0.92

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.67) vs Away AVERAGE (1.17)

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