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Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura
Apertura - 12
Parque Artigas· Las Piedras
Monday, April 20, 2026
20:00
Boston River
PPG 0.67
1-0
HIT MostLikelyScore
Cerro Largo
PPG 1.17
Away· -6.4%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
37.9%
Odds: 2.36
EV: -10.6%
Draw
31.0%
Odds: 3.00
EV: -7.0%
Away
31.2%
Odds: 3.00
EV: -6.4%
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
31.7%
Odds: 2.45
-22.3%
Over 3.5
13.9%
Odds: 4.75
-34.0%
BTTS
39.2%
Odds: 2.00
-21.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✔
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Boston River
1.05
Cerro Largo
0.92
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER
Home weakness: POOR (0.67) vs Away AVERAGE (1.17)