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Bravo vs Primorje Prediction— Slovenia - 1. SNL

Regular Season - 30 ·Wednesday, April 15, 2026

Bravo

PPG 1.54 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Primorje

PPG 0.15 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 75.4% vs bookmaker-implied 56.8% — a clear edge.

+32.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-12.7%0-21.1%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.7%1-17.1%1-22.9%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.2%2-19.1%2-23.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.6%3-17.8%3-23.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-011.5%4+-19.3%4+-23.8%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 75.4% 56.8% 1.76 +32.7%

Draw 15.1% 27.4% 3.65 -44.9%

Away win 9.5% 25.0% 4.00 -62.0%

Over 2.5 65.7% 63.7% 1.57 +3.1%

Over 3.5 43.8% 40.8% 2.45 +7.3%

BTTS 51.2% 66.7% 1.50 -23.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 30.6%

Bet Hit 82%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob51.2%

H 75% / xG 2.6-0.8 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.2%

#2 3–0 9.6%

#3 2–1✓ 9.1%

#4 1–0 8.7%

#5 3–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bravo2.6

Primorje0.8

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.7% · O3.5 PROB 43.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BRAVO · PPG 1.54

PRIMORJE · PPG 0.15

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

98%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.54), Away POOR (0.15) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Bravo (H) 75.4%

ODDS 1.76 · IMPLIED 56.8% EV +32.7%

Draw 15.1%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -44.9%

Primorje (A) 9.5%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -62.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bravo face Primorje in Slovenia - 1. SNL on Wednesday, April 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bravo a 75% chance, the draw 15% and Primorje 10%, so Bravo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Bravo and 0.8 for Primorje (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bravo are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 0.15 for Primorje. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +32.7%. This match finished 2-1.

Bravo vs Primorje Prediction— Slovenia - 1. SNL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Slovenia - 1. SNL Predictions