Moreirense vs Estoril Prediction & Tips

Portugal - Primeira Liga Regular Season - 30 Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas· Moreira de Conegos Monday, April 20, 2026 19:15

Moreirense PPG 1.43

1-0 HIT CS5

Estoril PPG 1.00

Over3.5· +44.6% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Home 41.0%

Odds: 3.10 EV: +27.1%

Draw 22.4%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -25.0%

Away 36.6%

Odds: 2.22 EV: -18.8%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 66.9% Odds: 1.85 +23.8%

Over 3.5 45.2% Odds: 3.20 +44.6%

BTTS 67.4% Odds: 1.67 +12.6%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✔

Moreirense

1.78

Estoril

1.67

Model SuggestionBTTS +12.6% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+44.6%)

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 57%

BTTS/No 47%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -4.3%

Bet Hit 50% (18 bets)

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.43) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)