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Feyenoord vs GO Ahead Eagles Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 12:30

Feyenoord

PPG 1.90 · HOME

UPCOMING

GO Ahead Eagles

PPG 1.02 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.1% vs bookmaker-implied 74.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-14.6%0-22.8%0-31.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-07.7%1-19.4%1-25.8%1-32.3%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.0%2-19.7%2-26.0%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-05.5%3-16.7%3-24.1%3-31.7%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-04.6%4+-15.6%4+-23.4%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.6% 73.0% 1.37 -26.6%

Draw 22.7% 18.9% 5.30 +12.2%

Away win 23.8% 15.4% 6.50 +32.8%

Over 2.5 63.1% 74.1% 1.35 -14.8%

Over 3.5 39.8% 54.1% 1.85 -26.4%

BTTS 61.6% 65.4% 1.53 -5.8%

Home O1.5 59.8% 78.1% 1.28 -23.5%

Away O1.5 36.6% 33.3% 3.00 +9.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -2.1%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.6%

H 54% / xG 2.1-1.2 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.0%

#4 3–1 6.7%

#5 1–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Feyenoord2.1

GO Ahead Eagles1.2

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

FEYENOORD · PPG 1.90

GO AHEAD EAGLES · PPG 1.02

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.84 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Feyenoord (H) 53.6%

ODDS 1.37 · IMPLIED 73.0% EV -26.6%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 5.30 · IMPLIED 18.9% EV +12.2%

GO Ahead Eagles (A) 23.8%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +32.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Feyenoord face GO Ahead Eagles in Netherlands - Eredivisie on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Feyenoord a 54% chance, the draw 23% and GO Ahead Eagles 24%, so Feyenoord are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Feyenoord and 1.2 for GO Ahead Eagles (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Feyenoord are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 1.02 for GO Ahead Eagles. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +32.8%.

Feyenoord vs GO Ahead Eagles Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie

Match Preview & Prediction

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