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Crystal Palace vs West Ham Utd Prediction— England - Premier League

Regular Season - 33 ·Monday, April 20, 2026, 19:00

Crystal Palace

PPG 1.19 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

West Ham Utd

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 54.5% vs bookmaker-implied 40.0% — a clear edge.

+36.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-16.6%0-23.3%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.4%1-111.3%1-25.6%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.8%2-19.7%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.6%3-15.6%3-22.8%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-13.5%4+-21.7%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.5% 40.0% 2.50 +36.3%

Draw 23.8% 31.3% 3.20 -23.8%

Away win 21.7% 36.0% 2.78 -39.7%

Over 2.5 50.9% 54.6% 1.83 -6.9%

Over 3.5 28.8% 33.3% 3.00 -13.6%

BTTS 51.6% 61.7% 1.62 -16.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 6.3%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.6%

H 55% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 11.4%

#2 1–1 11.3%

#3 2–0 9.8%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0✓ 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Crystal Palace1.7

West Ham Utd1.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

CRYSTAL PALACE · PPG 1.19

WEST HAM UTD · PPG 1.00

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.19), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Crystal Palace (H) 54.5%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +36.3%

Draw 23.8%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -23.8%

West Ham Utd (A) 21.7%

ODDS 2.78 · IMPLIED 36.0% EV -39.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Crystal Palace face West Ham Utd in England - Premier League on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Crystal Palace a 55% chance, the draw 24% and West Ham Utd 22%, so Crystal Palace are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Crystal Palace and 1.0 for West Ham Utd (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Crystal Palace are averaging 1.19 points per game versus 1.00 for West Ham Utd. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +36.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Crystal Palace vs West Ham Utd Prediction— England - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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