Sunderland vs Chelsea Prediction & Tips

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England - Premier League Regular Season - 38 Stadium of Light· Sunderland Sunday, May 24, 2026 15:00

Sunderland PPG 1.67

2-1 HIT CS5

Chelsea PPG 1.44

Home· +25.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.9%

Odds: 3.50 EV: +25.7%

Draw 27.3%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -1.0%

Away 36.8%

Odds: 1.97 EV: -27.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.1% Odds: 1.73 -15.1%

Over 3.5 25.7% Odds: 2.80 -16.8%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.62 -14.8%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Sunderland

1.24

Chelsea

1.33

Model SuggestionBTTS -14.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+25.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away AVERAGE (1.44)