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England - Premier League logo England flag England - Premier League Regular Season - 38 Anfield· Liverpool Sunday, May 24, 2026 15:00
Liverpool logo Liverpool PPG 1.94
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Brentford logo Brentford PPG 1.11
Draw· +0.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.6%
Odds: 1.87 EV: -3.5%
Draw 24.1%
Odds: 4.20 EV: +0.7%
Away 24.3%
Odds: 3.40 EV: -10.4%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.8% Odds: 1.45 -13.3%
Over 3.5 37.0% Odds: 2.15 -20.4%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.45 -13.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Liverpool
1.82
Brentford
1.25

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -13.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -13.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+0.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.94) vs P(Home)=51.6%

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