Brighton vs Manchester Utd Prediction & Tips

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England - Premier League Regular Season - 38 Amex Stadium· Brighton Sunday, May 24, 2026 15:00

Brighton PPG 1.83

0-3 MISS

Manchester Utd PPG 1.44

Away· +6.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.0%

Odds: 1.79 EV: -19.4%

Draw 26.0%

Odds: 4.00 EV: +2.4%

Away 29.0%

Odds: 3.80 EV: +6.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.48 -22.1%

Over 3.5 31.6% Odds: 2.15 -32.1%

BTTS 59.1% Odds: 1.45 -14.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Brighton

1.53

Manchester Utd

1.31

Model SuggestionBTTS -14.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -14.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+6.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.83) > Away AVERAGE (1.44)