Nottm Forest vs Bournemouth Prediction & Tips

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England - Premier League Regular Season - 38 City Ground· Nottingham Sunday, May 24, 2026 15:00

Nottm Forest PPG 1.06

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Bournemouth PPG 1.39

Home· +21.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.8%

Odds: 3.30 EV: +21.4%

Draw 26.0%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -1.5%

Away 37.2%

Odds: 2.00 EV: -25.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.57 -17.4%

Over 3.5 31.1% Odds: 2.40 -25.4%

BTTS 58.6% Odds: 1.50 -12.1%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Nottm Forest

1.42

Bournemouth

1.40

Model SuggestionBTTS -12.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+21.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 44%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -9.4%

Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.06) vs Away AVERAGE (1.39)