Today / France - Ligue 2 / USL Dunkerque vs Laval

USL Dunkerque vs Laval Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Regular Season - 31 ·Monday, April 20, 2026, 18:45

USL Dunkerque

PPG 1.47 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Laval

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 67.3% vs bookmaker-implied 52.6% — a clear edge.

+27.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-14.9%0-21.7%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-013.8%1-19.6%1-23.3%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-013.5%2-19.4%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.8%3-16.1%3-22.1%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-06.8%4+-14.7%4+-21.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 67.3% 52.6% 1.90 +27.9%

Draw 20.4% 29.4% 3.40 -30.6%

Away win 12.3% 25.0% 4.00 -50.8%

Over 2.5 49.5% 54.1% 1.85 -8.4%

Over 3.5 27.6% 31.3% 3.20 -11.7%

BTTS 42.9% 58.8% 1.70 -27.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 24.9%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob42.9%

H 67% / xG 2.0-0.7 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 13.8%

#2 2–0 13.5%

#3 1–1 9.6%

#4 2–1 9.4%

#5 3–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

USL Dunkerque2.0

Laval0.7

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.5% · O3.5 PROB 27.6%

Form & verdict PPG

USL DUNKERQUE · PPG 1.47

LAVAL · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.47) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

USL Dunkerque (H) 67.3%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV +27.9%

Draw 20.4%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -30.6%

Laval (A) 12.3%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -50.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

USL Dunkerque face Laval in France - Ligue 2 on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives USL Dunkerque a 67% chance, the draw 20% and Laval 12%, so USL Dunkerque are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for USL Dunkerque and 0.7 for Laval (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, USL Dunkerque are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.00 for Laval. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +27.9%. This match finished 0-2.

USL Dunkerque vs Laval Prediction— France - Ligue 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More France - Ligue 2 Predictions