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Italy - Serie A
Regular Season - 33
Stadio Via del Mare· Lecce
Monday, April 20, 2026
18:45
Lecce
PPG 1.00
1-1
HIT CS3
Fiorentina
PPG 1.06
Draw· -0.2%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
29.5%
Odds: 3.25
EV: -4.1%
Draw
30.7%
Odds: 3.25
EV: -0.2%
Away
39.8%
Odds: 2.20
EV: -12.4%
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
32.1%
Odds: 2.10
-32.6%
Over 3.5
14.1%
Odds: 3.85
-45.7%
BTTS
39.4%
Odds: 1.85
-27.1%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✔
4th
1-0
✘
5th
0-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Lecce
0.90
Fiorentina
1.09
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.06)