Today / China - League Two / Yichun Grand Tiger vs Shenzhen 2028

Yichun Grand Tiger vs Shenzhen 2028 Prediction— China - League Two

Matchday 21 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 11:30

Yichun Grand Tiger

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Shenzhen 2028

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.1%0-114.9%0-29.1%0-33.7%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.7%1-113.1%1-28.1%1-33.3%1-4+1.3%2 2-04.7%2-15.8%2-23.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.4%3-11.7%3-21.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.3% — — —

Draw 28.1% — — —

Away win 41.6% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 26.0% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 36.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 15.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob49.2%

A 42% / xG 0.9-1.2 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 12.1%

#3 0–1 14.9%

#4 0–2 9.1%

#5 1–0 10.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yichun Grand Tiger0.9

Shenzhen 20281.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 26.0%

Form & verdict PPG

YICHUN GRAND TIGER · PPG 1.00

SHENZHEN 2028 · PPG 1.30

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.34, combined xG 2.11 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Yichun Grand Tiger (H) 30.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shenzhen 2028 (A) 41.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Yichun Grand Tiger face Shenzhen 2028 in China - League Two on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yichun Grand Tiger a 30% chance, the draw 28% and Shenzhen 2028 42%, so Shenzhen 2028 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Yichun Grand Tiger and 1.2 for Shenzhen 2028 (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yichun Grand Tiger are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.30 for Shenzhen 2028.

Yichun Grand Tiger vs Shenzhen 2028 Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - League Two Predictions