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Guizhou Zhucheng vs Chengdu Rongcheng II Prediction— China - League Two

Matchday 21 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 11:30

Guizhou Zhucheng

PPG 2.70 · HOME

UPCOMING

Chengdu Rongcheng II

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.39 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-14.6%0-21.2%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-016.4%1-18.8%1-22.4%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.8%2-18.5%2-22.3%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.1%3-15.4%3-21.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-07.6%4+-14.1%4+-21.1%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.1% — — —

Draw 21.5% — — —

Away win 14.4% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 54.6% — — —

Away O1.5 16.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 15.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob44.6%

H 64% / xG 1.9-0.5 / O2.5 50% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.8%

#2 1–0 16.4%

#3 1–1 8.8%

#4 3–0 10.1%

#5 0–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Guizhou Zhucheng1.9

Chengdu Rongcheng II0.5

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GUIZHOU ZHUCHENG · PPG 2.70

CHENGDU RONGCHENG II · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.39 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Guizhou Zhucheng (H) 64.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Chengdu Rongcheng II (A) 14.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Guizhou Zhucheng face Chengdu Rongcheng II in China - League Two on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Guizhou Zhucheng a 64% chance, the draw 22% and Chengdu Rongcheng II 14%, so Guizhou Zhucheng are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Guizhou Zhucheng and 0.5 for Chengdu Rongcheng II (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Guizhou Zhucheng are averaging 2.70 points per game versus 0.80 for Chengdu Rongcheng II.

Guizhou Zhucheng vs Chengdu Rongcheng II Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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