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Shanghai Second vs Nantong Haimen Codion Prediction— China - League Two

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 08:00

Shanghai Second

PPG 0.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Nantong Haimen Codion

PPG 0.90 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.25, combined xG 2.35 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-112.4%0-28.1%0-33.5%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.0%1-113.0%1-28.5%1-33.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-05.3%2-16.8%2-24.4%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.8%3-12.4%3-21.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.3% — — —

Draw 27.1% — — —

Away win 41.6% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 38.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 15.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob53.1%

A 42% / xG 1.1-1.3 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.5%

#3 0–1 12.4%

#4 1–2 8.5%

#5 0–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shanghai Second1.1

Nantong Haimen Codion1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SHANGHAI SECOND · PPG 0.60

NANTONG HAIMEN CODION · PPG 0.90

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.25, combined xG 2.35 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Shanghai Second (H) 31.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nantong Haimen Codion (A) 41.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shanghai Second face Nantong Haimen Codion in China - League Two on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shanghai Second a 31% chance, the draw 27% and Nantong Haimen Codion 42%, so Nantong Haimen Codion are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Shanghai Second and 1.3 for Nantong Haimen Codion (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shanghai Second are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 0.90 for Nantong Haimen Codion.

Shanghai Second vs Nantong Haimen Codion Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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