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Guangdong Mingtu vs Wuhan Three Towns II Prediction— China - League Two

Matchday 21 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 11:30

Guangdong Mingtu

PPG 0.90 · HOME

UPCOMING

Wuhan Three Towns II

PPG 0.90 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.1%0-111.2%0-24.1%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.4%1-112.9%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.0%2-17.4%2-22.7%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.8%3-12.8%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.4% — — —

Draw 29.5% — — —

Away win 26.1% — — —

Over 2.5 41.4% — — —

Over 3.5 21.1% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 15.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.7%

H 44% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.1%

#2 1–0 17.4%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 2–0 10.0%

#5 0–1 11.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Guangdong Mingtu1.1

Wuhan Three Towns II0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.4% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

GUANGDONG MINGTU · PPG 0.90

WUHAN THREE TOWNS II · PPG 0.90

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.41, combined xG 1.89 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Guangdong Mingtu (H) 44.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wuhan Three Towns II (A) 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Guangdong Mingtu face Wuhan Three Towns II in China - League Two on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Guangdong Mingtu a 44% chance, the draw 30% and Wuhan Three Towns II 26%, so Guangdong Mingtu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Guangdong Mingtu and 0.7 for Wuhan Three Towns II (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Guangdong Mingtu are averaging 0.90 points per game versus 0.90 for Wuhan Three Towns II.

Guangdong Mingtu vs Wuhan Three Towns II Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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