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Shandong Taishan II vs Dalian Yingbo B Prediction— China - League Two

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 11:00

Shandong Taishan II

PPG 1.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

Dalian Yingbo B

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.80 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-18.0%0-22.5%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.2%1-111.5%1-23.6%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.0%2-18.2%2-22.6%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.2%3-13.9%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-11.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.8% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 21.8% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 26.0% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 45.1% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 15.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.7%

H 52% / xG 1.4-0.6 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.2%

#2 0–0 12.7%

#3 1–1 11.5%

#4 2–0 13.0%

#5 2–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shandong Taishan II1.4

Dalian Yingbo B0.6

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 26.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SHANDONG TAISHAN II · PPG 1.80

DALIAN YINGBO B · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.80 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Shandong Taishan II (H) 51.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dalian Yingbo B (A) 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shandong Taishan II face Dalian Yingbo B in China - League Two on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shandong Taishan II a 52% chance, the draw 26% and Dalian Yingbo B 22%, so Shandong Taishan II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Shandong Taishan II and 0.6 for Dalian Yingbo B (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shandong Taishan II are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.00 for Dalian Yingbo B.

Shandong Taishan II vs Dalian Yingbo B Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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