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Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Langfang Glory City Prediction— China - League Two

Matchday 21 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 11:30

Hubei Chufeng Heli

PPG 1.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Langfang Glory City

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +0.93 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-15.6%0-22.6%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.2%1-110.5%1-25.0%1-31.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.5%2-19.9%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.6%3-16.2%3-22.9%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-14.5%4+-22.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.5% — — —

Draw 24.2% — — —

Away win 23.3% — — —

Over 2.5 53.7% — — —

Over 3.5 31.8% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 54.6% — — —

Away O1.5 26.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 15.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.1%

H 52% / xG 1.9-0.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–0 10.5%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0 11.2%

#5 0–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hubei Chufeng Heli1.9

Langfang Glory City0.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HUBEI CHUFENG HELI · PPG 1.60

LANGFANG GLORY CITY · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.93 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Hubei Chufeng Heli (H) 52.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Langfang Glory City (A) 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hubei Chufeng Heli face Langfang Glory City in China - League Two on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hubei Chufeng Heli a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Langfang Glory City 23%, so Hubei Chufeng Heli are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Hubei Chufeng Heli and 0.9 for Langfang Glory City (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hubei Chufeng Heli are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.40 for Langfang Glory City.

Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Langfang Glory City Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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