Today / China - League Two / Qingdao Red Lions vs Xi'an Ronghai

Qingdao Red Lions vs Xi'an Ronghai Prediction— China - League Two

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 08:00

Qingdao Red Lions

PPG 1.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Xi'an Ronghai

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.1%0-113.4%0-26.8%0-32.3%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.3%1-113.5%1-26.9%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-06.7%2-16.9%2-23.5%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.3%3-12.3%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.4% — — —

Draw 29.0% — — —

Away win 31.6% — — —

Over 2.5 42.7% — — —

Over 3.5 22.2% — — —

BTTS 49.1% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 31.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 15.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.1%

D 29% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 13.1%

#3 0–1 13.4%

#4 1–0 13.3%

#5 1–2 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Qingdao Red Lions1.0

Xi'an Ronghai1.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 22.2%

Form & verdict PPG

QINGDAO RED LIONS · PPG 1.20

XI'AN RONGHAI · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.00, combined xG 2.03 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Qingdao Red Lions (H) 39.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Xi'an Ronghai (A) 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Qingdao Red Lions face Xi'an Ronghai in China - League Two on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Qingdao Red Lions a 39% chance, the draw 29% and Xi'an Ronghai 32%, so Qingdao Red Lions are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Qingdao Red Lions and 1.0 for Xi'an Ronghai (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Qingdao Red Lions are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.67 for Xi'an Ronghai.

Qingdao Red Lions vs Xi'an Ronghai Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - League Two Predictions