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Dalian Kewei vs Tai'an Tiankuang Prediction— China - League Two

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 08:00

Dalian Kewei

PPG 2.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tai'an Tiankuang

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.5%0-19.9%0-23.2%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.0%1-112.1%1-23.9%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.7%2-17.4%2-22.4%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.8%3-13.0%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.2%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.0% — — —

Draw 27.8% — — —

Away win 23.3% — — —

Over 2.5 42.7% — — —

Over 3.5 24.0% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 32.8% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 64 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 15.8%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.7%

H 49% / xG 1.2-0.6 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.5%

#2 1–0 19.0%

#3 1–1 12.1%

#4 2–0 11.7%

#5 0–1 9.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dalian Kewei1.2

Tai'an Tiankuang0.6

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 24.0%

Form & verdict PPG

DALIAN KEWEI · PPG 2.20

TAI'AN TIANKUANG · PPG 1.30

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.59 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Dalian Kewei (H) 49.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tai'an Tiankuang (A) 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dalian Kewei face Tai'an Tiankuang in China - League Two on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dalian Kewei a 49% chance, the draw 28% and Tai'an Tiankuang 23%, so Dalian Kewei are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Dalian Kewei and 0.6 for Tai'an Tiankuang (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dalian Kewei are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.30 for Tai'an Tiankuang.

Dalian Kewei vs Tai'an Tiankuang Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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