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Shenzhen Juniors vs Ningbo Professional Prediction— China - League One

Matchday 19 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 11:00

Shenzhen Juniors

PPG 1.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ningbo Professional

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.37, combined xG 2.49 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.3%0-18.8%0-24.7%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.8%1-112.6%1-26.7%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.5%2-19.0%2-24.8%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.0%3-14.3%3-22.3%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.1%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.5% — — —

Draw 26.6% — — —

Away win 28.9% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 45.1% — — —

Away O1.5 33.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -16.7%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob53.1%

H 44% / xG 1.4-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–0 8.3%

#3 1–0 11.8%

#4 2–1 9.0%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shenzhen Juniors1.4

Ningbo Professional1.1

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SHENZHEN JUNIORS · PPG 1.88

NINGBO PROFESSIONAL · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.37, combined xG 2.49 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Shenzhen Juniors (H) 44.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ningbo Professional (A) 28.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shenzhen Juniors face Ningbo Professional in China - League One on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shenzhen Juniors a 45% chance, the draw 27% and Ningbo Professional 29%, so Shenzhen Juniors are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Shenzhen Juniors and 1.1 for Ningbo Professional (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shenzhen Juniors are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.75 for Ningbo Professional.

Shenzhen Juniors vs Ningbo Professional Prediction— China - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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