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Yanbian Longding vs Dalian Huayi Prediction— China - League One

Matchday 19 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 10:00

Yanbian Longding

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Dalian Huayi

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.83 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-17.2%0-22.8%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-014.9%1-111.5%1-24.4%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.9%2-19.2%2-23.6%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.4%3-14.9%3-21.9%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-12.8%4+-21.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.3% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 22.2% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 47.2% — — —

Away O1.5 17.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -21.6%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.2%

H 53% / xG 1.6-0.8 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–0 14.9%

#3 2–0 11.9%

#4 0–0 9.3%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Yanbian Longding1.6

Dalian Huayi0.8

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

YANBIAN LONGDING · PPG 1.50

DALIAN HUAYI · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.83 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Yanbian Longding (H) 53.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dalian Huayi (A) 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Yanbian Longding face Dalian Huayi in China - League One on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Yanbian Longding a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Dalian Huayi 22%, so Yanbian Longding are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Yanbian Longding and 0.8 for Dalian Huayi (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Yanbian Longding are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.75 for Dalian Huayi.

Yanbian Longding vs Dalian Huayi Prediction— China - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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