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Wuxi Wugou vs Guangzhou E-Power Prediction— China - League One

Matchday 19 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 11:00

Wuxi Wugou

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Guangzhou E-Power

PPG 2.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-19.3%0-26.0%0-32.6%0-4+1.1%1 1-09.6%1-112.5%1-28.0%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.5%2-18.3%2-25.4%2-32.3%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.9%3-13.7%3-22.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.7%4+-21.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.4% — — —

Draw 27.3% — — —

Away win 35.3% — — —

Over 2.5 50.7% — — —

Over 3.5 30.0% — — —

BTTS 54.5% — — —

Home O1.5 37.9% — — —

Away O1.5 37.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -21.6%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.5%

H 37% / xG 1.3-1.3 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–0 7.2%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 1–2 8.0%

#5 1–0 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wuxi Wugou1.3

Guangzhou E-Power1.3

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.7% · O3.5 PROB 30.0%

Form & verdict PPG

WUXI WUGOU · PPG 1.50

GUANGZHOU E-POWER · PPG 2.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.05 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Wuxi Wugou (H) 37.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Guangzhou E-Power (A) 35.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Wuxi Wugou face Guangzhou E-Power in China - League One on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wuxi Wugou a 37% chance, the draw 27% and Guangzhou E-Power 35%, so Wuxi Wugou are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Wuxi Wugou and 1.3 for Guangzhou E-Power (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wuxi Wugou are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.12 for Guangzhou E-Power.

Wuxi Wugou vs Guangzhou E-Power Prediction— China - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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