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Suzhou Dongwu vs Nantong Zhiyun Prediction— China - League One

Matchday 19 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 11:00

Suzhou Dongwu

PPG 1.10 · HOME

UPCOMING

Nantong Zhiyun

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.3%0-118.3%0-29.7%0-33.4%0-4+1.1%1 1-012.1%1-112.8%1-26.7%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-04.2%2-14.4%2-22.4%2-30.8%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.0%3-11.0%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.3% — — —

Draw 32.8% — — —

Away win 38.9% — — —

Over 2.5 34.3% — — —

Over 3.5 17.7% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 33.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -16.7%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob44.6%

A 39% / xG 0.7-1.1 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.3%

#2 0–1 18.3%

#3 1–1 12.8%

#4 1–0 12.1%

#5 0–2 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suzhou Dongwu0.7

Nantong Zhiyun1.1

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.3% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SUZHOU DONGWU · PPG 1.10

NANTONG ZHIYUN · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.36, combined xG 1.75 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Suzhou Dongwu (H) 28.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nantong Zhiyun (A) 38.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Suzhou Dongwu face Nantong Zhiyun in China - League One on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suzhou Dongwu a 28% chance, the draw 33% and Nantong Zhiyun 39%, so Nantong Zhiyun are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Suzhou Dongwu and 1.1 for Nantong Zhiyun (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suzhou Dongwu are averaging 1.10 points per game versus 1.11 for Nantong Zhiyun.

Suzhou Dongwu vs Nantong Zhiyun Prediction— China - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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