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Spain - Segunda División logo Spain flag Spain - Segunda División Regular Season - 36 Estadio Municipal de Riazor· La Coruña Monday, April 20, 2026 18:30
Deportivo logo Deportivo PPG 1.71
3-1 MISS
Mirandes logo Mirandes PPG 0.94
Over3.5· +20.9% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 71.8%
Odds: 1.52 EV: +9.1%
Draw 17.3%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -32.5%
Away 11.0%
Odds: 6.60 EV: -27.4%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.6% Odds: 1.90 +13.2%
Over 3.5 37.2% Odds: 3.25 +20.9%
BTTS 48.7% Odds: 1.91 -7.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-1
4th 3-0
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Deportivo
2.31
Mirandes
0.78

Model Suggestion

Home +9.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+20.9%)

League Track Record

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 54%
ROI 8.0%
Bet Hit 64% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away POOR (0.94)

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