Vasas vs BVSC Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Hungary - NB II Regular Season - 26 Illovszky Rudolf Stadion· Budapest Monday, April 20, 2026 18:00

Vasas PPG 2.33

0-2 MISS

BVSC PPG 1.25

Away· +22.2% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Vasas face BVSC in Hungary - NB II on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vasas a 72% chance, the draw 19% and BVSC 9%, so Vasas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Vasas and 0.6 for BVSC (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vasas are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.25 for BVSC. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +22.2%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 71.9%

Odds: 1.20 EV: -13.7%

Draw 18.7%

Odds: 5.00 EV: -6.5%

Away 9.4%

Odds: 13.00 EV: +22.2%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.1% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 27.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 38.7% Odds: 2.25 -12.9%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 3-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Vasas

2.05

BVSC

0.59

Model SuggestionHome -13.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -13.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+22.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5/Under 68%

BTTS/No 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -21.0%

Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.33), Away AVERAGE (1.25) - Strong consensus