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Vasas vs BVSC Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 26 ·Monday, April 20, 2026, 18:00

Vasas

PPG 2.33 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

BVSC

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 71.9% vs bookmaker-implied 83.3%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-14.2%0-21.2%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-014.7%1-18.6%1-22.5%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.1%2-18.8%2-22.6%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.3%3-16.0%3-21.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-08.5%4+-15.0%4+-21.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.9% 83.3% 1.20 -13.7%

Draw 18.7% 20.0% 5.00 -6.5%

Away win 9.4% 7.7% 13.00 +22.2%

Over 2.5 49.1% — — —

Over 3.5 27.2% — — —

BTTS 38.7% 44.4% 2.25 -12.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -29.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob38.7%

H 72% / xG 2.1-0.6 / O2.5 49% / NoBTTS 39%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.1%

#2 1–0 14.7%

#3 3–0 10.3%

#4 2–1 8.8%

#5 1–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vasas2.1

BVSC0.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.1% · O3.5 PROB 27.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VASAS · PPG 2.33

BVSC · PPG 1.25

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.33), Away AVERAGE (1.25) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Vasas (H) 71.9%

ODDS 1.20 · IMPLIED 83.3% EV -13.7%

Draw 18.7%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -6.5%

BVSC (A) 9.4%

ODDS 13.00 · IMPLIED 7.7% EV +22.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vasas face BVSC in Hungary - NB II on Monday, April 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vasas a 72% chance, the draw 19% and BVSC 9%, so Vasas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Vasas and 0.6 for BVSC (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vasas are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.25 for BVSC. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +22.2%. This match finished 0-2.

Vasas vs BVSC Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

More Hungary - NB II Predictions