Today / South Korea - K League 1 / Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeonbuk Motors

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeonbuk Motors Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Matchday 23 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 10:30

Bucheon FC 1995

PPG 0.73 · HOME

UPCOMING

Jeonbuk Motors

PPG 1.55 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.5%0-118.4%0-211.7%0-35.0%0-4+2.1%1 1-09.6%1-112.2%1-27.7%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-03.1%2-14.0%2-22.5%2-31.1%2-4+0.5%3 3-00.7%3-10.9%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.7% 22.2% 4.50 +4.0%

Draw 26.6% 28.2% 3.55 -3.3%

Away win 49.7% 57.1% 1.75 -13.0%

Over 2.5 42.7% 50.0% 2.00 -14.6%

Over 3.5 21.1% 28.2% 3.55 -15.1%

BTTS 47.7% 54.1% 1.85 -11.8%

Home O1.5 30.2% 27.0% 3.70 +11.7%

Away O1.5 36.6% 52.6% 1.90 -30.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 34%

O2.5 42%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 61%

ROI -62.5%

Bet Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob47.7%

A 50% / xG 0.7-1.3 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 18.4%

#2 0–0 14.5%

#3 1–1 12.2%

#4 0–2 11.7%

#5 1–0 9.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bucheon FC 19950.7

Jeonbuk Motors1.3

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BUCHEON FC 1995 · PPG 0.73

JEONBUK MOTORS · PPG 1.55

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.61 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Bucheon FC 1995 (H) 23.7%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +4.0%

Draw 26.6%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -3.3%

Jeonbuk Motors (A) 49.7%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -13.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bucheon FC 1995 face Jeonbuk Motors in South Korea - K League 1 on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bucheon FC 1995 a 24% chance, the draw 27% and Jeonbuk Motors 50%, so Jeonbuk Motors are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Bucheon FC 1995 and 1.3 for Jeonbuk Motors (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bucheon FC 1995 are averaging 0.73 points per game versus 1.55 for Jeonbuk Motors. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +11.7%.

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Jeonbuk Motors Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More South Korea - K League 1 Predictions