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Jeonbuk Motors vs Jeju United FC Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Matchday 22 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 11:00

Jeonbuk Motors

PPG 1.70 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

Jeju United FC

PPG 1.56 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.6%0-111.7%0-25.1%0-31.5%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.4%1-113.3%1-25.7%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.7%2-17.5%2-23.2%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.3%3-12.8%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.6% 57.8% 1.73 -28.0%

Draw 31.4% 27.8% 3.60 +13.0%

Away win 27.0% 21.1% 4.75 +17.0%

Over 2.5 42.1% 50.0% 2.00 -15.8%

Over 3.5 21.9% 28.2% 3.55 -13.4%

BTTS 48.4% 54.1% 1.85 -10.5%

Home O1.5 32.1% 54.1% 1.85 -40.6%

Away O1.5 21.8% 26.3% 3.80 -10.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 34%

O2.5 42%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 61%

ROI -62.5%

Bet Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.4%

H 42% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.6%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 1–0 15.4%

#4 0–1 11.7%

#5 2–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jeonbuk Motors1.1

Jeju United FC0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.1% · O3.5 PROB 21.9%

Form & verdict PPG

JEONBUK MOTORS · PPG 1.70

JEJU UNITED FC · PPG 1.56

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.27, combined xG 1.99 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Jeonbuk Motors (H) 41.6%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -28.0%

Draw 31.4%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +13.0%

Jeju United FC (A) 27.0%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +17.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jeonbuk Motors face Jeju United FC in South Korea - K League 1 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jeonbuk Motors a 42% chance, the draw 31% and Jeju United FC 27%, so Jeonbuk Motors are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Jeonbuk Motors and 0.9 for Jeju United FC (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jeonbuk Motors are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 1.56 for Jeju United FC. This match finished 1-3.

Jeonbuk Motors vs Jeju United FC Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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