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Jeju United FC vs FC Anyang Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Matchday 23 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 10:30

Jeju United FC

PPG 1.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

FC Anyang

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.5% vs bookmaker-implied 54.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-111.8%0-28.3%0-33.9%0-4+1.8%1 1-09.0%1-112.7%1-28.9%1-34.1%1-4+2.0%2 2-04.8%2-16.8%2-24.8%2-32.2%2-4+1.1%3 3-01.7%3-12.4%3-21.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.7% 43.5% 2.30 -27.1%

Draw 26.4% 31.3% 3.20 -9.3%

Away win 41.9% 32.3% 3.10 +29.9%

Over 2.5 53.3% 47.6% 2.10 +11.9%

Over 3.5 31.8% 26.0% 3.85 +22.4%

BTTS 54.5% 54.6% 1.83 -0.3%

Home O1.5 30.2% 42.6% 2.35 -29.0%

Away O1.5 42.6% 33.9% 2.95 +25.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 34%

O2.5 42%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 61%

ROI -62.5%

Bet Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.5%

A 42% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 8.4%

#3 0–1 11.8%

#4 1–2 8.9%

#5 0–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jeju United FC1.1

FC Anyang1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.3% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

JEJU UNITED FC · PPG 1.17

FC ANYANG · PPG 1.73

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.33, combined xG 2.48 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Jeju United FC (H) 31.7%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -27.1%

Draw 26.4%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -9.3%

FC Anyang (A) 41.9%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +29.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jeju United FC face FC Anyang in South Korea - K League 1 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jeju United FC a 32% chance, the draw 26% and FC Anyang 42%, so FC Anyang are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Jeju United FC and 1.4 for FC Anyang (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jeju United FC are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.73 for FC Anyang. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +25.7%.

Jeju United FC vs FC Anyang Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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