Today / Australia - Victoria NPL 2 / Manningham United Blues vs Port Melbourne

Manningham United Blues vs Port Melbourne Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Regular Season - 23 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 05:15

Manningham United Blues

PPG 1.64 · HOME

UPCOMING

Port Melbourne

PPG 0.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.0% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-12.8%0-21.0%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.7%1-17.0%1-22.5%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.4%2-18.9%2-23.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.5%3-17.6%3-22.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-012.2%4+-18.8%4+-23.2%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 62.9% 75.2% 1.33 -16.3%

Draw 16.3% 20.0% 5.00 -11.1%

Away win 20.7% 16.7% 6.00 +14.5%

Over 2.5 64.0% 73.5% 1.36 -13.0%

Over 3.5 41.5% 52.1% 1.92 -20.3%

BTTS 55.3% 61.3% 1.63 -9.9%

Home O1.5 64.0% 78.7% 1.27 -18.7%

Away O1.5 20.3% 27.3% 3.66 -15.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 62 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -35.9%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob55.3%

H 63% / xG 2.5-0.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.4%

#2 3–0 10.5%

#3 2–1 8.9%

#4 1–0 9.7%

#5 1–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Manningham United Blues2.5

Port Melbourne0.7

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 41.5%

Form & verdict PPG

MANNINGHAM UNITED BLUES · PPG 1.64

PORT MELBOURNE · PPG 0.55

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.82 for Home, form 1.64 vs 0.55 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Manningham United Blues (H) 62.9%

ODDS 1.33 · IMPLIED 75.2% EV -16.3%

Draw 16.3%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV -11.1%

Port Melbourne (A) 20.7%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +14.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Manningham United Blues face Port Melbourne in Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Manningham United Blues a 63% chance, the draw 16% and Port Melbourne 21%, so Manningham United Blues are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Manningham United Blues and 0.7 for Port Melbourne (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Manningham United Blues are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 0.55 for Port Melbourne.

Manningham United Blues vs Port Melbourne Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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