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Portugal - Segunda Liga
Regular Season - 30
CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira· Alcochete
Monday, April 20, 2026
17:45
Sporting CP B
PPG 1.50
0-1
MISS
Felgueiras
PPG 0.93
Home· +69.8%
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
62.9%
Odds: 2.70
EV: +69.8%
Draw
23.8%
Odds: 3.10
EV: -26.2%
Away
13.3%
Odds: 2.52
EV: -66.5%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
39.4%
Odds: 2.15
-15.3%
Over 3.5
19.3%
Odds: 3.85
-25.7%
BTTS
36.8%
Odds: 1.80
-33.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✘
2nd
2-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
0-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting CP B
1.66
Felgueiras
0.61
Model Suggestion
Home
+69.8%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
75%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.93)