Today / Armenia - Premier League / Ararat-Armenia vs Van

Ararat-Armenia vs Van Prediction— Armenia - Premier League

Matchday 3 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 12:00

Ararat-Armenia

PPG 2.19 · HOME

UPCOMING

Van

PPG 0.98 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.98 for Home, form 2.19 vs 0.98 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-12.2%0-20.9%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.4%1-16.1%1-22.5%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.4%2-18.6%2-23.6%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.7%3-18.0%3-23.3%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-013.6%4+-111.2%4+-24.6%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.3% — — —

Draw 20.0% — — —

Away win 14.7% — — —

Over 2.5 63.1% — — —

Over 3.5 40.1% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 67.0% — — —

Away O1.5 21.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 51%

ROI -2.7%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob53.1%

H 65% / xG 2.8-0.8 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.4%

#2 3–0 9.7%

#3 2–1 8.6%

#4 3–1 8.0%

#5 1–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ararat-Armenia2.8

Van0.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.1%

Form & verdict PPG

ARARAT-ARMENIA · PPG 2.19

VAN · PPG 0.98

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.98 for Home, form 2.19 vs 0.98 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Ararat-Armenia (H) 65.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Van (A) 14.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ararat-Armenia face Van in Armenia - Premier League on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ararat-Armenia a 65% chance, the draw 20% and Van 15%, so Ararat-Armenia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Ararat-Armenia and 0.8 for Van (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ararat-Armenia are averaging 2.19 points per game versus 0.98 for Van.

Ararat-Armenia vs Van Prediction— Armenia - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Armenia - Premier League Predictions